Tennis · UTR Pro Sydney · 09/09, 02:30
Prediction: Dimitri Bagaric vs Jerome Estephan
Prediction summary
Winner
Dimitri Bagaric
Jerome Estephan
Estimated games
18.9
Recent form · 10 last
Dimitri Bagaric
0-10 (W-L)
Jerome Estephan
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dimitri Bagaric 1365 · Jerome Estephan 1494
| Dimitri Bagaric | Jerome Estephan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jerome Estephan (rating 1365 vs 1494).
- Jerome Estephan is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Dimitri Bagaric | Jerome Estephan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (9) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.1-2 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 5-12.3 | 8.7-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 39% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 40% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dimitri Bagaric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Matthew Burton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/03 | Jamie Mackenzie M25 Launceston |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 10/01 | Chase Zhao UTR Pro Wagga Wagga · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/01 | Luke Cripps UTR Pro Wagga Wagga · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/01 | Luca Connaughton UTR Pro Wagga Wagga · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Wagga Wagga · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/12 | Evan Vasiliadis UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/12 | Nikolas Baker UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 16/12 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Jerome Estephan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Gunawan Trismuwantara M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 09/03 | Jamie Mackenzie M25 Timaru |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/03 | Felix Littlejohn M25 Timaru |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 02/03 | Oliver Clark Anderson M25 Launceston |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/02 | Mathieu Perchicot UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/02 | Arjun Mehrotra UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 06/02 | Elijah Dikkenberg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/02 | Kuma Ito UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dimitri Bagaric vs Jerome Estephan?
Our model gives 66% to Jerome Estephan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.