Tennis · UTR Pro Sydney · 18/09, 04:00
Prediction: Oscar Andrews vs Jera Staley
Team pages: Oscar Andrews · Jera Staley
Prediction summary
Winner
Oscar Andrews
Jera Staley
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Oscar Andrews
3-7 (W-L)
Jera Staley
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Oscar Andrews
0–1
Jera Staley
(1 last)
- 07 May0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oscar Andrews 1415 · Jera Staley 1522
| Oscar Andrews | Jera Staley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jera Staley (rating 1415 vs 1522).
- Jera Staley is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Oscar Andrews 0–1 Jera Staley (1).
- Note: Oscar Andrews makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Oscar Andrews | Jera Staley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-13.1 | 10.4-9.4 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 71.9% |
| Break % | 63.8% | 24% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Oscar Andrews 0 – 1 Jera Staley (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oscar Andrews 0–1 Jera Staley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/26 UTR Pro Melbourne | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oscar Andrews
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Jerome Estephan UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Jeremy Beale UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Cody Atkinson UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 09/09 | Jacob Cairncross UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/09 | Shaheed Alam UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Hayden Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Sam Oster UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 23/08 | Charlie Pade UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/08 | James Girdler UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Jera Staley
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Arjun Mehrotra UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Haruto Ishikawa UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Jerome Estephan UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Matthew Burton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | James Girdler UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Cameron Burton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Jesse Gothelf UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Cody Atkinson UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Jacob Cairncross UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oscar Andrews vs Jera Staley?
Our model gives 73% to Jera Staley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.