Tennis · UTR Pro Sydney · 18/09, 02:30

Prediction: James Girdler vs Jake Dembo

Team pages: James Girdler · Jake Dembo

Prediction summary
Winner
35% 65%
James Girdler Jake Dembo
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
James Girdler 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLLWLLLW
Jake Dembo 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWWLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · James Girdler 1475 · Jake Dembo 1496
James GirdlerJake Dembo
Our model47%53%
Market25%75%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

James GirdlerJake Dembo
Win %40%40%
Win % · Hard 40% (10) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.40.8-1.2
Games (G-P)9.7-129.2-10
Aces0.42.7
Double faults3.31.3
1st serve %56.4%65%
Break %46.4%8.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

James Girdler

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/09 Roger Rogowski
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
16/09 Elijah Dikkenberg
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
15/09 Alex Bulte
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
12/09 Eric Tripathi
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
11/09 Cameron Burton
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-1 14-16 W
10/09 Jera Staley
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
09/09 Casey Hoole
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
07/09 Jonas Hahn
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
28/08 Arjun Balakrishnan
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
1-2 11-16 L
26/08 Eric Tripathi
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Jake Dembo

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/09 Elijah Dikkenberg
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
16/09 Alex Bulte
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
08/09 Leo Borg
M15 Bali
0-2 11-14 L
01/09 Arjun Mehrotra
M15 Bali
0-2 5-12 L
23/08 Arjun Mehrotra
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
22/08 Jack Bruce-Smith
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
21/08 Kareem Abdul Hakim
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
20/08 Gautam S Venkatraman
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
19/08 Anthony Susanto
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/08 Aarjun Pandit
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
0-2 8-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in James Girdler vs Jake Dembo?

Our model gives 65% to Jake Dembo, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.