Tennis · US Open MD · 08/09, 17:00
Prediction: Miedler/Polmans vs Arevalo/Pavic
Team pages: Miedler/Polmans · Arevalo/Pavic
Prediction summary
Winner
Miedler/Polmans
Arevalo/Pavic
Estimated games
25
Recent form · 10 last
Miedler/Polmans
5-5 (W-L)
Arevalo/Pavic
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miedler/Polmans 1517 · Arevalo/Pavic 1581
| Miedler/Polmans | Arevalo/Pavic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arevalo/Pavic (rating 1517 vs 1581).
Statistics
| Miedler/Polmans | Arevalo/Pavic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-13.7 | 14.5-13.4 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 75.3% | 79.2% |
| Break % | 35.5% | 28.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miedler/Polmans
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Cash/Erler US Open MD · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 04/09 | Nakashima/Nakashima US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/08 | Nouza/Oberleitner ATP Winston-Salem MD · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Frantzen/Haase ATP Winston-Salem MD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-16 | W |
| 25/08 | Johnson/Zielinski ATP Winston-Salem MD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-16 | W |
| 18/08 | Frantzen/Haase ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Goransson/Ruud ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
1-2 | 12-22 | L |
| 28/07 | Andreozzi/Guinard ATP Washington MD · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/07 | Schnaitter/Wallner ATP Kitzbuhel MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/07 | Balaji/Goransson ATP Kitzbuhel MD · Clay |
2-1 | 22-18 | W |
Arevalo/Pavic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Kiger/Kovacevic US Open MD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 05/09 | Johnson/Zielinski US Open MD · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 20/08 | Arribage/Olivetti ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
1-2 | 14-20 | L |
| 17/08 | Khachanov/Rublev ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 13/08 | Luz/Matos ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
1-2 | 17-21 | L |
| 12/08 | Arribage/Olivetti ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/08 | Chan/Galarneau ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Pavlasek/Rikl ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Galloway/King ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Heliovaara/Patten Wimbledon MD · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miedler/Polmans vs Arevalo/Pavic?
Our model gives 63% to Arevalo/Pavic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.