Tennis · M25 Pozzuoli · 09/09, 10:00

Prediction: Jacopo Bilardo vs Leonardo Rossi

Team pages: Jacopo Bilardo · Leonardo Rossi

Prediction summary
Winner
35% 65%
Jacopo Bilardo Leonardo Rossi
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Jacopo Bilardo 4-6 (W-L)
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Leonardo Rossi 4-6 (W-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jacopo Bilardo 1456 · Leonardo Rossi 1515
Jacopo BilardoLeonardo Rossi
Our model42%58%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leonardo Rossi (rating 1456 vs 1515).
  • Note: Jacopo Bilardo makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Jacopo BilardoLeonardo Rossi
Win %30%50%
Win % · Clay 20% (5) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1-1.61.1-1.3
Games (G-P)10.5-13.611.7-11.9
Aces1.25.1
Double faults4.62
1st serve %59.3%65.3%
Break %41.1%41.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 23

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jacopo Bilardo

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Manuel Mazza
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
1-2 9-15 L
01/09 Enrico Baldisserri
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
2-0 13-5 W
20/08 Ignacio Monzon
M15 Arad
1-2 11-15 L
18/08 Jeremy Gschwendtner
M15 Arad
2-1 17-16 W
13/08 Fermin Tenti
M15 Targu Jiu
0-2 7-13 L
12/08 Filippo Francesco Garbero
M15 Targu Jiu
2-1 14-14 W
15/07 Martin Van Der Meerschen
M15 Gubbio
0-2 4-12 L
28/06 Mathys Erhard
Challenger Milan · Clay
1-2 11-18 L
22/06 Filiberto Fumagalli
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
16/06 Viktor Durasovic
M25 Milano · ~Clay
1-2 11-15 L

Leonardo Rossi

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Charles Broom
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
24/08 Radu Albot
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-1 14-13 W
23/08 Hady Habib
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
17/08 Radu Albot
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
1-2 16-16 L
16/08 Benjamin Gusic Wan
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-1 18-11 W
14/08 Robert Strombachs
M15 Warsaw
0-2 8-12 L
13/08 Adam Majchrzak
M15 Warsaw
2-1 19-16 W
12/08 Lorenzo Berto
M15 Warsaw
2-0 13-8 W
26/07 Marko Topo
Challenger Bonn · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
20/07 Igor Marcondes
Challenger Tampere · Clay
0-2 7-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jacopo Bilardo vs Leonardo Rossi?

Our model gives 65% to Leonardo Rossi, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.