Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville Women · 09/09, 20:30
Prediction: Francesca Mattioli vs Joanna Kennedy
Team pages: Francesca Mattioli · Joanna Kennedy
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Mattioli
Joanna Kennedy
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Mattioli
7-3 (W-L)
Joanna Kennedy
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Mattioli 1531 · Joanna Kennedy 1618
| Francesca Mattioli | Joanna Kennedy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joanna Kennedy (rating 1531 vs 1618).
- Joanna Kennedy is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Francesca Mattioli makes many double faults (7.2/match).
- Note: Joanna Kennedy makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Mattioli | Joanna Kennedy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-8.2 | 13.1-6.7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 7.2 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 67% |
| Break % | 56.4% | 60% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Mattioli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Emmie Moore UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/09 | Saray Yli-Piipari UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Pergamino |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Rebeca Pereira W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/07 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Alisa Danilova W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Mia Popovic W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/07 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Joanna Kennedy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/05 | Maria Sholokhova UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/05 | Ekaterina Ivanova UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 21/05 | Jenna Sloan UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/05 | Ellison Reynoldson UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 19/05 | Emmi Kolyszko UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/04 | Zimora Mcknight UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/04 | Natalie Oliver UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/04 | Olivia Lewis UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/04 | Brooke Kwon UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Mattioli vs Joanna Kennedy?
Our model gives 56% to Joanna Kennedy, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.