Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville Women · 13/09, 16:30
Prediction: Sarah Mildren vs Chiara Di Genova
Team pages: Sarah Mildren · Chiara Di Genova
Prediction summary
Winner
Sarah Mildren
Chiara Di Genova
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sarah Mildren
4-6 (W-L)
Chiara Di Genova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sarah Mildren 1459 · Chiara Di Genova 1481
| Sarah Mildren | Chiara Di Genova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sarah Mildren | Chiara Di Genova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.1 | 8.6-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 55.5% |
| Break % | 59.4% | 42.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sarah Mildren
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Audelie Lesauvage UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/09 | Skylar Kasday UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Alice Battesti UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Carlota Moreno UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Jizelle Sibai W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Himari Sato W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/07 | Destanee Aiava W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Nanari Katsumi W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Chiara Di Genova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Stefani Webb UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Julia Zhu UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Alice Soulie UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Lisa Kamigata UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Beatriz Guerra W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Maria Paulina Perez Garcia W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W15 Rio Claro |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Luana Plaza W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Catarina M I Melleiro Junior W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sarah Mildren vs Chiara Di Genova?
Our model gives 60% to Sarah Mildren, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.