Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 08/09, 14:00
Prediction: Mika Petkovic vs Andrea Pellegrino
Team pages: Mika Petkovic · Andrea Pellegrino
Prediction summary
Winner
Mika Petkovic
Andrea Pellegrino
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mika Petkovic
3-7 (W-L)
Andrea Pellegrino
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mika Petkovic 1475 · Andrea Pellegrino 1483
| Mika Petkovic | Andrea Pellegrino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mika Petkovic makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Mika Petkovic | Andrea Pellegrino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-12.8 | 11.7-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 36.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mika Petkovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/09 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Tiago Torres Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 23/08 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Tim Handel M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Carlos Giraldi M25 Ueberlingen |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 19/08 | Tim Heger M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Nikolai Barsukov Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Andrea Pellegrino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Colton Smith US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/08 | Zizou Bergs Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 18/07 | Joao Silva ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mika Petkovic vs Andrea Pellegrino?
Our model gives 59% to Andrea Pellegrino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.