Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 08/09, 12:30
Prediction: Maximo Zeitune vs Alvaro Guillen Meza
Team pages: Maximo Zeitune · Alvaro Guillen Meza
Prediction summary
Winner
Maximo Zeitune
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Maximo Zeitune
8-2 (W-L)
Alvaro Guillen Meza
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maximo Zeitune 1566 · Alvaro Guillen Meza 1402
| Maximo Zeitune | Alvaro Guillen Meza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maximo Zeitune (rating 1566 vs 1402).
- Maximo Zeitune is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Alvaro Guillen Meza makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Maximo Zeitune | Alvaro Guillen Meza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (2) | 13% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 0.6-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-8.9 | 11.1-14.7 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 75.8% | 63% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maximo Zeitune
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 06/09 | Filippo Francesco Garbero Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Bastian Malla M15 Mar Del Plata |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/08 | Felipe De Dios M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Londrina |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Vitor Costa Goncalves M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Ivan Dreycopp M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/07 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 25/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maximo Zeitune vs Alvaro Guillen Meza?
Our model gives 56% to Maximo Zeitune, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.