Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 09/09, 10:00
Prediction: Massimo Giunta vs Tom Gentzsch
Team pages: Massimo Giunta · Tom Gentzsch
Prediction summary
Winner
Massimo Giunta
Tom Gentzsch
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Massimo Giunta
6-4 (W-L)
Tom Gentzsch
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Massimo Giunta 1526 · Tom Gentzsch 1578
| Massimo Giunta | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tom Gentzsch (rating 1526 vs 1578).
- Massimo Giunta dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 46.2% break avg.
- Tom Gentzsch dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 48.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Massimo Giunta | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-11.6 | 13.2-11 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 74.9% | 75.6% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Massimo Giunta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/09 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/08 | Filippo Romano Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Marcello Serafini M25 Fano |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Fano |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 05/08 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Timeo Trufelli M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Tom Gentzsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Francesco Passaro US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Pol Martin Tiffon US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/08 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Henri Squire Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Massimo Giunta vs Tom Gentzsch?
Our model gives 64% to Tom Gentzsch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.