Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 08/09, 11:00
Prediction: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Gianmarco Ferrari
Team pages: Thiago Seyboth Wild · Gianmarco Ferrari
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Gianmarco Ferrari
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Seyboth Wild
8-2 (W-L)
Gianmarco Ferrari
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1615 · Gianmarco Ferrari 1539
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Gianmarco Ferrari | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Seyboth Wild (rating 1615 vs 1539).
- Thiago Seyboth Wild dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 40.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Gianmarco Ferrari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.2 | 11.1-10.3 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 75.1% | 67% |
| Break % | 40.9% | 37.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Martin Krumich Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Mackenzie McDonald US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Raul Brancaccio US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Andrej Martin Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Marc-Andrea Huesler Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Gianmarco Ferrari
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Andrey Chepelev Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Francesco Ferrari Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/08 | Andrea Colombo Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 09/08 | Edoardo Betti Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Leonardo Borrelli M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Gianmarco Ferrari?
Our model gives 74% to Thiago Seyboth Wild, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.