Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 10/09, 16:30
Prediction: Alden Russell vs Sofia Thorne
Team pages: Alden Russell · Sofia Thorne
Prediction summary
Winner
Alden Russell
Sofia Thorne
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alden Russell
2-8 (W-L)
Sofia Thorne
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alden Russell 1410 · Sofia Thorne 1459
| Alden Russell | Sofia Thorne | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sofia Thorne (rating 1410 vs 1459).
- Note: Alden Russell makes many double faults (5/match).
- Note: Sofia Thorne makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Alden Russell | Sofia Thorne | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.6 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.7-11.2 | 8.9-11.6 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 5 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 49.2% | 50.9% |
| Break % | 33.5% | 65.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alden Russell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Dia Evtimova UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Elena Daskalova UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Victoria Osuigwe UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Kaiden Greer UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Samvrutha Jawahar UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Lyla Middleton UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Nicole Okhtenberg UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/01 | Katerina Mandelikova UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/01 | Skye Madatali UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Sofia Thorne
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Elena Daskalova UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Himari Sato W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Mayu Crossley W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Marika Jones W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05 | Juliana Singeorzan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 21/05 | Lily Fairclough UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Alexia Harmon UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Raegan Farm UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/05 | Lauren Friedman UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alden Russell vs Sofia Thorne?
Our model gives 65% to Sofia Thorne, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.