Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 13/09, 16:30
Prediction: Ariana Gilbert vs Addy Rogin
Team pages: Ariana Gilbert · Addy Rogin
Prediction summary
Winner
Ariana Gilbert
Addy Rogin
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ariana Gilbert
5-5 (W-L)
Addy Rogin
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ariana Gilbert 1451 · Addy Rogin 1469
| Ariana Gilbert | Addy Rogin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ariana Gilbert makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Ariana Gilbert | Addy Rogin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12 | 8.9-9.6 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 63% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ariana Gilbert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Frankee Hendricks UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Cecilie Maeland UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Hayley Roberts UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Sabritt Dozier UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Isabella Camacho UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 12/08 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 11/08 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Addy Rogin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Elena Daskalova UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/09 | Patrycja Niewiadomska UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Avery Olsen UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 09/09 | Nicole Okhtenberg UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Eva Shaw UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Mayra Gisone UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/08 | Sadbaroy Kholdarova UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Sophie Clayton UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 26/08 | Amy Gray UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ariana Gilbert vs Addy Rogin?
Our model gives 55% to Ariana Gilbert, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.