Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 13/09, 16:30
Prediction: Sofia Thorne vs Emi Dowdell
Team pages: Sofia Thorne · Emi Dowdell
Prediction summary
Winner
Sofia Thorne
Emi Dowdell
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Thorne
4-6 (W-L)
Emi Dowdell
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofia Thorne 1495 · Emi Dowdell 1484
| Sofia Thorne | Emi Dowdell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sofia Thorne | Emi Dowdell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.8 | 8.2-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 55.4% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 67.8% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofia Thorne
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Avery Olsen UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/09 | Dia Evtimova UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 10/09 | Alden Russell UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Elena Daskalova UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Himari Sato W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Mayu Crossley W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Marika Jones W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05 | Juliana Singeorzan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 21/05 | Lily Fairclough UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Emi Dowdell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Jasmin Makela UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Frankee Hendricks UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | June Bjork UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Laurie Barendse UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/04 | Tricia Mar UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/04 | Darja Suvirdjonkova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/04 | Avery Nguyen UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Shakhnoza Khatamova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/03 | Kelly Keller UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/03 | Karissa Chang UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofia Thorne vs Emi Dowdell?
Our model gives 57% to Sofia Thorne, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.