Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee · 10/09, 15:30

Prediction: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Mikail Alimli

Team pages: Luis Felipe Miguel · Mikail Alimli

Prediction summary
Winner
67% 33%
Luis Felipe Miguel Mikail Alimli
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Luis Felipe Miguel 6-4 (W-L)
LLWLWLWWWW
Mikail Alimli 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWLLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Luis Felipe Miguel 1556 · Mikail Alimli 1534
Luis Felipe MiguelMikail Alimli
Our model53%47%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Mikail Alimli dominates on serve: 6 aces and 45.5% break avg.

Statistics

Luis Felipe MiguelMikail Alimli
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 100% (3) 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.5-11.4-0.9
Games (G-P)12.7-10.410.8-8.7
Aces3.36
Double faults2.52.1
1st serve %68.6%77.5%
Break %56%45.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Luis Felipe Miguel

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 William Mirarchi
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
2-1 17-11 W
08/09 Freddy Murray
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
07/09 Elias Sumann
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
2-1 15-13 W
26/06 Thiago Seyboth Wild
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
1-2 11-14 L
13/06 Alex Hernandez
M15 Brasilia
0-2 9-13 L
13/06 Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M15 Brasilia
2-0 12-6 W
11/06 Bautista De La Pena
M15 Brasilia
2-1 16-11 W
10/06 Mauricio Echazu
M15 Brasilia
2-0 13-9 W
17/05 Mateus Alves
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
16/05 Herman Hoeyeraal
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
2-1 16-13 W

Mikail Alimli

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Elias Sumann
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
07/09 Freddy Murray
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
20/07 Loic Namigandet Tenguere
M15 Rognac
1-2 8-9 L
19/07 Timothe Barthes
M15 Rognac
2-1 14-13 W
08/07 Damien Salvestre
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
0-2 5-11 L
06/07 Kirill Mishkin
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-3 W
30/06 Robin Catry
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
29/06 Riccardo Ciulli
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
17/05 Lucas Bouquet
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
16/05 Pierre Antoine Tailleu
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 14-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Luis Felipe Miguel vs Mikail Alimli?

Our model gives 67% to Luis Felipe Miguel, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.