Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee · 13/09, 16:30
Prediction: Elias Sumann vs Andreas Messis
Team pages: Elias Sumann · Andreas Messis
Prediction summary
Winner
Elias Sumann
Andreas Messis
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Elias Sumann
4-6 (W-L)
Andreas Messis
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elias Sumann 1446 · Andreas Messis 1469
| Elias Sumann | Andreas Messis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Andreas Messis makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Elias Sumann | Andreas Messis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-10.8 | 10-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elias Sumann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Mark Krupkin UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Mikail Alimli UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | William Mirarchi UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Luis Felipe Miguel UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/08 | Justin Lyons UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Stewart Aronson UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Drew Fishback UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Radek Chodora UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Aleksa Ciric UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Yuichiro Inui M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Andreas Messis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Zakaria Achour UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/09 | Yan Kodjoed UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Gabor Hornung UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Youcef Rihane UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Albert Widell UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Alexandre Verlaguet UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Theofanis Kontopoulos UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/06 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Nikolaos Koutroubis UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Georgios Nouchakis UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elias Sumann vs Andreas Messis?
Our model gives 52% to Andreas Messis, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.