Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee · 12/09, 18:30
Prediction: Justin Lyons vs William Mirarchi
Team pages: Justin Lyons · William Mirarchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Justin Lyons
William Mirarchi
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Justin Lyons
4-6 (W-L)
William Mirarchi
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Justin Lyons 1459 · William Mirarchi 1503
| Justin Lyons | William Mirarchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours William Mirarchi (rating 1459 vs 1503).
Statistics
| Justin Lyons | William Mirarchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-12.2 | 10.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 60.4% | 60% |
| Break % | 30.4% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Justin Lyons
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Seydina Andre UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Albert Saar UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Andreas Scott UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Vito Tonejc UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Elias Sumann UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | David Krasner UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Ian Mayew UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Ilyas Milad Fahim M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
William Mirarchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Mikail Alimli UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 10/09 | Mark Krupkin UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Luis Felipe Miguel UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Elias Sumann UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 20/07 | Boris Sarritzu M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Cezar Gabriel Papoe M15 Slobozia |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Jose Murariu M15 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Luka Talan Lopatic M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Justin Lyons vs William Mirarchi?
Our model gives 60% to William Mirarchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.