Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee · 08/09, 16:00
Prediction: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Freddy Murray
Team pages: Luis Felipe Miguel · Freddy Murray
Prediction summary
Winner
Luis Felipe Miguel
Freddy Murray
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Luis Felipe Miguel
6-4 (W-L)
Freddy Murray
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luis Felipe Miguel 1533 · Freddy Murray 1479
| Luis Felipe Miguel | Freddy Murray | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luis Felipe Miguel (rating 1533 vs 1479).
- Luis Felipe Miguel is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Luis Felipe Miguel | Freddy Murray | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9.4 | 8.4-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 54.8% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 40.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luis Felipe Miguel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Elias Sumann UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Alex Hernandez M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Bautista De La Pena M15 Brasilia |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 10/06 | Mauricio Echazu M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/05 | Mateus Alves M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/05 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/05 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/05 | Pedro Andre De Almeida Santos M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Freddy Murray
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Mikail Alimli UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Alexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Daniel Borisov M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Vlad Cristian Breazu M15 Slobozia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Robert Guna M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Gheorghe Claudiu Schinteie M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-8 | W |
| 01/04 | John Patrick Popowich UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Santiago Lora UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luis Felipe Miguel vs Freddy Murray?
Our model gives 74% to Luis Felipe Miguel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.