Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee · 08/09, 16:00

Prediction: Elias Sumann vs William Mirarchi

Team pages: Elias Sumann · William Mirarchi

Prediction summary
Winner
39% 61%
Elias Sumann William Mirarchi
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Elias Sumann 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLWLWWWL
William Mirarchi 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWLLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Elias Sumann 1485 · William Mirarchi 1512
Elias SumannWilliam Mirarchi
Our model46%54%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Elias SumannWilliam Mirarchi
Win %40%50%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.2-1.3
Games (G-P)10.3-10.99.1-10.5
Aces0.91.1
Double faults2.92.7
1st serve %62.7%60.3%
Break %62.6%42.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Elias Sumann

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Luis Felipe Miguel
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
15/08 Justin Lyons
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
14/08 Stewart Aronson
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
13/08 Drew Fishback
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
1-2 10-13 L
12/08 Radek Chodora
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
11/08 Aleksa Ciric
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
21/07 Yuichiro Inui
M25 Ollersbach
0-2 7-13 L
01/07 Lun Obrul
M15 Store
1-2 10-18 L
30/06 Jure Siftar
M15 Store
2-0 12-7 W
26/05 Adrien Burdet
M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L

William Mirarchi

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Gabriele Bosio
M15 Segrate
1-2 12-16 L
20/07 Boris Sarritzu
M15 Segrate
2-1 10-10 W
16/07 Cezar Gabriel Papoe
M15 Slobozia
0-2 2-12 L
15/07 Jose Murariu
M15 Slobozia
2-0 12-3 W
10/07 Luka Talan Lopatic
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
09/07 Ergi Kirkin
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-1 16-13 W
08/07 Rares Andrei Golescu
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 13-5 W
23/06 Lorenzo Bocchi
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
22/06 Iannis Miletich
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
2-1 11-11 W
15/06 Alessandro Spadola
M25 Milano · ~Clay
1-2 9-11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Elias Sumann vs William Mirarchi?

Our model gives 61% to William Mirarchi, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.