Prediction: Dia Evtimova vs Sofia Thorne

Team pages: Dia Evtimova · Sofia Thorne

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Dia Evtimova Sofia Thorne
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Dia Evtimova 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLLLLWW
Sofia Thorne 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLWLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dia Evtimova 1456 · Sofia Thorne 1488
Dia EvtimovaSofia Thorne
Our model45%55%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Dia Evtimova makes many double faults (4.9/match).

Statistics

Dia EvtimovaSofia Thorne
Win %30%40%
Win % · Hard 67% (3) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.41-1.3
Games (G-P)8.2-10.49.4-10.6
Aces0.90.6
Double faults4.93.9
1st serve %56.6%53.6%
Break %46.3%67.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dia Evtimova

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/09 Elena Daskalova
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
09/09 Alden Russell
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
08/09 Mary Boyce Deatherage
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
26/07 Kristina Paskauskas
W35 Aldershot
0-2 4-12 L
13/07 Arina Bulatova
W50 Darmstadt
1-2 13-15 L
30/06 Emma Kamper
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
1-2 11-16 L
29/06 Linea Bajraliu
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
14/06 Aurora Zurmuehle
W35 Klosters · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
22/04 Maya Iyengar
W35 Charlotte
0-2 6-12 L
21/04 Aya El Sayed
W35 Charlotte
2-0 10-5 W

Sofia Thorne

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/09 Alden Russell
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
09/09 Mary Boyce Deatherage
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
07/09 Elena Daskalova
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
21/07 Himari Sato
W15 Brisbane
0-2 6-12 L
27/05 Mayu Crossley
W15 Lakewood · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
26/05 Marika Jones
W15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
24/05 Juliana Singeorzan
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
1-2 10-16 L
21/05 Lily Fairclough
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
1-2 12-14 L
20/05 Alexia Harmon
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
20/05 Raegan Farm
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-1 18-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dia Evtimova vs Sofia Thorne?

Our model gives 50% to Dia Evtimova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.