Prediction: Alden Russell vs Dia Evtimova

Team pages: Alden Russell · Dia Evtimova

Prediction summary
Winner
39% 61%
Alden Russell Dia Evtimova
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alden Russell 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLWWLLLL
Dia Evtimova 3-7 (W-L)
WWWLLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alden Russell 1415 · Dia Evtimova 1412
Alden RussellDia Evtimova
Our model50%50%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Dia Evtimova makes many double faults (5.7/match).

Statistics

Alden RussellDia Evtimova
Win %20%20%
Win % · Hard 20% (10) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)0.4-1.60.7-1.5
Games (G-P)6.5-11.28.3-11.5
Aces0.50.5
Double faults3.85.7
1st serve %47%53.4%
Break %31.7%53.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alden Russell

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Elena Daskalova
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
07/09 Mary Boyce Deatherage
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
13/06 Victoria Osuigwe
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
11/06 Kaiden Greer
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
10/06 Samvrutha Jawahar
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
09/06 Lyla Middleton
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
08/06 Nicole Okhtenberg
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
14/01 Katerina Mandelikova
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
13/01 Skye Madatali
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
12/01 Cristina Elena Tiglea
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
0-2 1-12 L

Dia Evtimova

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Mary Boyce Deatherage
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
26/07 Kristina Paskauskas
W35 Aldershot
0-2 4-12 L
13/07 Arina Bulatova
W50 Darmstadt
1-2 13-15 L
30/06 Emma Kamper
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
1-2 11-16 L
29/06 Linea Bajraliu
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
14/06 Aurora Zurmuehle
W35 Klosters · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
22/04 Maya Iyengar
W35 Charlotte
0-2 6-12 L
21/04 Aya El Sayed
W35 Charlotte
2-0 10-5 W
18/02 Jensen Diianni
W15 Palm Coast
1-1 13-14 L
17/02 Kate Sharabura
W15 Palm Coast
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alden Russell vs Dia Evtimova?

Our model gives 61% to Dia Evtimova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.