Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 08/09, 20:30
Prediction: Mary Boyce Deatherage vs Dia Evtimova
Team pages: Mary Boyce Deatherage · Dia Evtimova
Prediction summary
Winner
Mary Boyce Deatherage
Dia Evtimova
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mary Boyce Deatherage
8-2 (W-L)
Dia Evtimova
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mary Boyce Deatherage
0–1
Dia Evtimova
(1 last)
- 16 Jan0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mary Boyce Deatherage 1578 · Dia Evtimova 1411
| Mary Boyce Deatherage | Dia Evtimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mary Boyce Deatherage (rating 1578 vs 1411).
- Mary Boyce Deatherage is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Mary Boyce Deatherage 0–1 Dia Evtimova (1).
- Note: Dia Evtimova makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Mary Boyce Deatherage | Dia Evtimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-7.4 | 8.1-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 52.9% |
| Break % | 59.8% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
H2H · Mary Boyce Deatherage 0 – 1 Dia Evtimova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mary Boyce Deatherage 0–1 Dia Evtimova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/23 ITF W60 Vero Beach | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mary Boyce Deatherage
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Alden Russell UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/08 | Sabritt Dozier UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/08 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Ishika Ashar UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 18-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Brooke Lynn Schafer UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Amara Brahmbhatt UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 23/07 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Dia Evtimova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Kristina Paskauskas W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Arina Bulatova W50 Darmstadt |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Emma Kamper W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Linea Bajraliu W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Aurora Zurmuehle W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/04 | Maya Iyengar W35 Charlotte |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Aya El Sayed W35 Charlotte |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 18/02 | Jensen Diianni W15 Palm Coast |
1-1 | 13-14 | L |
| 17/02 | Kate Sharabura W15 Palm Coast |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/02 | Ava Catanzarite UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mary Boyce Deatherage vs Dia Evtimova?
Our model gives 82% to Mary Boyce Deatherage, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.