Tennis · M25 Sapporo · 09/09, 03:00
Prediction: Robin Catry vs Kousuke Ogura
Team pages: Robin Catry · Kousuke Ogura
Prediction summary
Winner
Robin Catry
Kousuke Ogura
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Robin Catry
4-6 (W-L)
Kousuke Ogura
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Robin Catry 1506 · Kousuke Ogura 1500
| Robin Catry | Kousuke Ogura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Robin Catry | Kousuke Ogura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11.6 | 9.4-11.4 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Robin Catry
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Markus Molder M15 Dublin |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Lucas Marionneau M15 Dublin |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 30/07 | Jordi Mas De Ugarte M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Andrew Gaule M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Dan Added M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Clement Lemire M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Mikail Alimli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Mert Alkaya M25 Porto |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Kousuke Ogura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Yanki Erel M25 Urayasu |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Omar Jasika M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Tomohiro Masabayashi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Hiroki Moriya M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Omar Jasika M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 14/08 | Duckhee Lee M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/08 | Mikalai Haliak M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Yuta Kikuchi M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 22/07 | Taiki Takizawa M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Robin Catry vs Kousuke Ogura?
Our model gives 58% to Robin Catry, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.