Tennis · M25 Sapporo · 08/09, 04:30
Prediction: Riku Takahata vs Chase Ferguson
Team pages: Riku Takahata · Chase Ferguson
Prediction summary
Winner
Riku Takahata
Chase Ferguson
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Riku Takahata
4-6 (W-L)
Chase Ferguson
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Riku Takahata 1508 · Chase Ferguson 1510
| Riku Takahata | Chase Ferguson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Riku Takahata | Chase Ferguson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.1 | 12.2-12.6 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 67% |
| Break % | 58.3% | 28% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riku Takahata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Takumi Katsuda M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Noritaka Koizumi M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Masaki Ishikawa M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/08 | Ofek Shimanov M15 Astana |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Astana |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 28/07 | Arkhip Kozlov M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Makar Krivoshchekov M15 Astana |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Chase Ferguson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Keisuke Saitoh M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Yusuke Takahashi M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 29/08 | Rigele Te M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Fumin Jiang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 27/08 | Hanyi Liu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Yua Taka M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Yunseong Chung M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Duje Markovina M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Derek Pham M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 17/07 | Jake Delaney M25 Brisbane |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Riku Takahata vs Chase Ferguson?
Our model gives 62% to Chase Ferguson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.