Tennis · M25 Sapporo · 08/09, 03:00
Prediction: Makoto Ochi vs Yuki Mochizuki
Team pages: Makoto Ochi · Yuki Mochizuki
Prediction summary
Winner
Makoto Ochi
Yuki Mochizuki
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Makoto Ochi
6-4 (W-L)
Yuki Mochizuki
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Makoto Ochi
0–1
Yuki Mochizuki
(1 last)
- 31 Jul0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Makoto Ochi 1488 · Yuki Mochizuki 1503
| Makoto Ochi | Yuki Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Makoto Ochi 0–1 Yuki Mochizuki (1).
Statistics
| Makoto Ochi | Yuki Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.2 | 10.8-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 71% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 37.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Makoto Ochi 0 – 1 Yuki Mochizuki (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Makoto Ochi 0–1 Yuki Mochizuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/23 Challenger Lexington | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Makoto Ochi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Seiya Nakanishi M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Urayasu |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Yu Tanaka M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/08 | Yuya Hirose M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/08 | Sean Cuenin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Drazen Petrovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Pietro Pampanin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Koki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Yuki Mochizuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Kasidit Samrej M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Hiromasa Koyama M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Fanming Meng M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 08/08 | Donghyun Hwang M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Tsung-Hao Huang M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/08 | Ruochen Gao M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/08 | Jaesung Choe M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 23/07 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Charlie Camus M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Makoto Ochi vs Yuki Mochizuki?
Our model gives 54% to Yuki Mochizuki, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.