Tennis · M25 Sapporo · 08/09, 03:00

Prediction: Saki Tange vs Alejandro Hayen

Team pages: Saki Tange · Alejandro Hayen

Prediction summary
Winner
66% 34%
Saki Tange Alejandro Hayen
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Saki Tange 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWLLWLLW
Alejandro Hayen 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLLWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Saki Tange 1476 · Alejandro Hayen 1440
Saki TangeAlejandro Hayen
Our model55%45%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Saki TangeAlejandro Hayen
Win %40%30%
Win % · Hard 33% (6) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.30.8-1.4
Games (G-P)10.6-10.79.1-11.2
Aces0.72.3
Double faults2.72
1st serve %65%61.5%
Break %55.1%57.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Saki Tange

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Riku Nakamoto
M25 Sapporo
2-0 12-3 W
02/09 Hikaru Shiraishi
M25 Urayasu
0-2 7-12 L
29/07 Sergey Petrov
M15 Astana
1-2 12-14 L
27/07 Daniel Yurekli
M15 Astana
2-0 12-3 W
07/07 Yuto Oki
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
01/07 Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
30/06 Shu Matsuoka
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 11-11 W
16/06 Colin Sinclair
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 19-20 L
15/06 Noritaka Koizumi
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 8-3 W
09/06 Riku Takahata
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 12-16 L

Alejandro Hayen

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/08 Seiya Nakanishi
M25 Urayasu
1-2 12-9 L
09/07 Reece Falck
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
0-2 7-12 L
08/07 Joaquim Almeida
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
2-0 12-8 W
29/06 Juan Sebastian Osorio
Challenger Quito · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
28/06 Darwin Andres Macias Elizalde
Challenger Quito · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
21/06 Tomas Martinez
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
15/06 Ignacio Parisca Romera
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
29/04 Artem Alekseychuk
M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
23/04 Rodrigo Alujas
M25 Xalapa · ~Hard
0-2 10-14 L
22/04 Lance A L Castelan
M25 Xalapa · ~Hard
2-0 14-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Saki Tange vs Alejandro Hayen?

Our model gives 66% to Saki Tange, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.