Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee · 07/09, 15:30

Prediction: Freddy Murray vs Mikail Alimli

Team pages: Freddy Murray · Mikail Alimli

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Freddy Murray Mikail Alimli
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Freddy Murray 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLLLLLWL
Mikail Alimli 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Freddy Murray 1485 · Mikail Alimli 1502
Freddy MurrayMikail Alimli
Our model48%52%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Freddy MurrayMikail Alimli
Win %40%50%
Win % · Clay 60% (5) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.51.3-1.1
Games (G-P)9.4-11.311.2-10.4
Aces0.85.7
Double faults2.92.2
1st serve %55.3%74.7%
Break %42.9%46.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Freddy Murray

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/08 Rares Teodor Pieleanu
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
04/08 Alexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
29/07 Daniel Borisov
M15 Dublin
0-2 10-13 L
14/07 Vlad Cristian Breazu
M15 Slobozia
0-2 5-12 L
09/07 Filippo Mazzola
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
08/07 Robert Guna
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-1 18-9 W
07/07 Gheorghe Claudiu Schinteie
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-1 8-8 W
01/04 John Patrick Popowich
UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
31/03 Santiago Lora
UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
17/10 Tomas Luis
UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard
1-2 14-14 L

Mikail Alimli

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/07 Loic Namigandet Tenguere
M15 Rognac
1-2 8-9 L
19/07 Timothe Barthes
M15 Rognac
2-1 14-13 W
08/07 Damien Salvestre
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
0-2 5-11 L
06/07 Kirill Mishkin
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-3 W
30/06 Robin Catry
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
29/06 Riccardo Ciulli
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
17/05 Lucas Bouquet
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
16/05 Pierre Antoine Tailleu
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
15/05 Marwan Haida-Lamrani
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
14/05 Botond Nagy
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
1-2 15-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Freddy Murray vs Mikail Alimli?

Our model gives 64% to Mikail Alimli, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.