Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 07/09, 11:30
Prediction: Mika Petkovic vs Federico Arnaboldi
Team pages: Mika Petkovic · Federico Arnaboldi
Prediction summary
Winner
Mika Petkovic
Federico Arnaboldi
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mika Petkovic
3-7 (W-L)
Federico Arnaboldi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mika Petkovic 1472 · Federico Arnaboldi 1472
| Mika Petkovic | Federico Arnaboldi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mika Petkovic makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Mika Petkovic | Federico Arnaboldi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.4 | 10.6-11 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mika Petkovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Tiago Torres Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 23/08 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Tim Handel M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Carlos Giraldi M25 Ueberlingen |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 19/08 | Tim Heger M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Nikolai Barsukov Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 27/07 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Federico Arnaboldi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Fano |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Niccolo Ciavarella M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Sandro Kopp M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Peter Buldorini M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Peetu Pohjola Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mika Petkovic vs Federico Arnaboldi?
Our model gives 58% to Mika Petkovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.