Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 07/09, 11:30
Prediction: Valerio Aboian vs Lorenzo Rottoli
Team pages: Valerio Aboian · Lorenzo Rottoli
Prediction summary
Winner
Valerio Aboian
Lorenzo Rottoli
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Valerio Aboian
5-5 (W-L)
Lorenzo Rottoli
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valerio Aboian 1517 · Lorenzo Rottoli 1502
| Valerio Aboian | Lorenzo Rottoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Valerio Aboian | Lorenzo Rottoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.4 | 11.5-11.2 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 41.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valerio Aboian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Luca Castagnola Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 04/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/08 | Karlo Kajin M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Nik Mikovic M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Aljaz Jeran M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Maximilian Homberg Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Lorenzo Rottoli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Johan Nikles Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Andrej Martin M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Matthias Ujvary M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 15-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Fano |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Fano |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valerio Aboian vs Lorenzo Rottoli?
Our model gives 59% to Valerio Aboian, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.