Tennis · M25 Sapporo · 07/09, 03:00
Prediction: Saki Tange vs Riku Nakamoto
Team pages: Saki Tange
Prediction summary
Winner
Saki Tange
Riku Nakamoto
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Saki Tange
6-4 (W-L)
Riku Nakamoto
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Saki Tange 1475 · Riku Nakamoto 1484
| Saki Tange | Riku Nakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Saki Tange | Riku Nakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.9 | 10-10.4 |
| Aces | 1 | – |
| Double faults | 2.6 | – |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | – |
| Break % | 57.6% | – |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Saki Tange
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Sergey Petrov M15 Astana |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Daniel Yurekli M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Yuto Oki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Colin Sinclair M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 15/06 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-3 | W |
| 09/06 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 08/06 | Elijah Cham M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Riku Nakamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06 | Toa Maeda UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Nuutti Jokinen UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 03/06 | Winston Lee UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Shion Itsusaki UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 08/11 | Makoto Ochi UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/11 | Jacob Kailiang Shen UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/11 | Sohji Nishiyama UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/11 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 03/11 | Ko Fujikawa UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Saki Tange vs Riku Nakamoto?
Our model gives 68% to Saki Tange, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.