Tennis · M25 Sapporo · 07/09, 03:00
Prediction: Makoto Ochi vs Seiya Nakanishi
Team pages: Makoto Ochi · Seiya Nakanishi
Prediction summary
Winner
Makoto Ochi
Seiya Nakanishi
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Makoto Ochi
6-4 (W-L)
Seiya Nakanishi
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Makoto Ochi 1517 · Seiya Nakanishi 1450
| Makoto Ochi | Seiya Nakanishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Makoto Ochi (rating 1517 vs 1450).
Statistics
| Makoto Ochi | Seiya Nakanishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.6 | 6.7-12.2 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 33.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Makoto Ochi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Urayasu |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Yu Tanaka M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/08 | Yuya Hirose M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/08 | Sean Cuenin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Drazen Petrovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Pietro Pampanin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Koki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Seiya Nakanishi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Naoya Honda M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Alejandro Hayen M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 9-12 | W |
| 03/06 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Dong Kyu Lee M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 7-10 | W |
| 20/02 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Kazuma Kawachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/02 | Kosuke Morita UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/02 | Koyu Yanagi UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
| 05/02 | Dorian Kos UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Makoto Ochi vs Seiya Nakanishi?
Our model gives 76% to Makoto Ochi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.