Tennis · M25 Sapporo · 07/09, 04:30
Prediction: Jerry Roddick vs Ryuichiro Nakano
Team pages: Jerry Roddick
Prediction summary
Winner
Jerry Roddick
Ryuichiro Nakano
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Jerry Roddick
4-6 (W-L)
Ryuichiro Nakano
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jerry Roddick 1443 · Ryuichiro Nakano 1395
| Jerry Roddick | Ryuichiro Nakano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jerry Roddick (rating 1443 vs 1395).
Statistics
| Jerry Roddick | Ryuichiro Nakano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 11% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 0.3-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-9.8 | 5.9-12.2 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 51.8% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 29.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jerry Roddick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Taisei Ichikawa M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Yamato Sueoka M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/08 | Joshua Peck M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Jon Gamble M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Karim Bennani M25 Champaign |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Luca Pow M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Wesley Cotton M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Kaylan Bigun M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Ryuichiro Nakano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Boxiong Zhang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Reiya Komagata M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 24/02 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Taiyo Sato UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/01 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/12 | Dorian Kos UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/12 | Ryusuke Horiuchi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 23/12 | Kazuma Kawachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/12 | Duncan McCall ITF M15 Tauranga · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/12 | Ymerali Ibraimi ITF M15 Hamilton |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jerry Roddick vs Ryuichiro Nakano?
Our model gives 75% to Jerry Roddick, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.