Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 07/09, 05:00
Prediction: Yuta Kawahashi vs Sam Ryan Ziegann
Team pages: Yuta Kawahashi · Sam Ryan Ziegann
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuta Kawahashi
Sam Ryan Ziegann
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Yuta Kawahashi
5-5 (W-L)
Sam Ryan Ziegann
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yuta Kawahashi
0–1
Sam Ryan Ziegann
(1 last)
- 28 Jul1-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuta Kawahashi 1471 · Sam Ryan Ziegann 1526
| Yuta Kawahashi | Sam Ryan Ziegann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sam Ryan Ziegann (rating 1471 vs 1526).
- Head-to-head: Yuta Kawahashi 0–1 Sam Ryan Ziegann (1).
Statistics
| Yuta Kawahashi | Sam Ryan Ziegann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-10.5 | 11.1-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 41% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Yuta Kawahashi 0 – 1 Sam Ryan Ziegann (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yuta Kawahashi 0–1 Sam Ryan Ziegann
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/26 M15 Bali | 1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuta Kawahashi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Abhishek Bastola Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/09 | Ryota Tanuma M25 Urayasu |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Qian Sun M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Bali |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Bali |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-1 | 5-6 | L |
| 30/06 | Hanyi Liu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Sam Ryan Ziegann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Christopher Papa Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Leo Borg M15 Bali |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Stefan Storch M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Eric Ahren Moonga M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Chan-Yeong Oh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Fanming Meng M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/08 | Thomas Nicholas Gadecki UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 06/08 | Sam Oster UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Jonas Hahn UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Omar Jasika UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuta Kawahashi vs Sam Ryan Ziegann?
Our model gives 52% to Yuta Kawahashi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.