Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 08/09, 10:00

Prediction: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Gabriele Crivellaro

Team pages: Enrico Dalla Valle · Gabriele Crivellaro

Prediction summary
Winner
72% 28%
Enrico Dalla Valle Gabriele Crivellaro
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Enrico Dalla Valle 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWWWLWL
Gabriele Crivellaro 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLWLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Enrico Dalla Valle 1534 · Gabriele Crivellaro 1522
Enrico Dalla ValleGabriele Crivellaro
Our model52%48%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Enrico Dalla ValleGabriele Crivellaro
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 60% (10) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.81.2-1.1
Games (G-P)11.5-9.411.3-10.4
Aces5.14.5
Double faults1.22.5
1st serve %79%69.2%
Break %51.1%42.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Enrico Dalla Valle

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Oriol Roca Batalla
Challenger Porto · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
01/09 Niels McDonald
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
28/07 Mili Poljicak
Challenger San Marino · Clay
0-2 12-14 L
27/07 Mika Brunold
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
26/07 Mattia Logrippo
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
16/07 Hugo Dellien
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
1-2 8-17 L
15/07 Andrej Nedic
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
07/07 Federico Agustin Gomez
Challenger Trieste · Clay
1-2 14-16 L
06/07 Ignacio Carou
Challenger Trieste · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
05/07 Boris Arias
Challenger Trieste · Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Gabriele Crivellaro

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/09 Manuel Mazza
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
04/09 Leonardo Primucci
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
2-1 18-11 W
03/09 Marcello Serafini
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
2-1 17-13 W
02/09 Nik Mikovic
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
20/08 Marcel Zielinski
M15 Mistelbach
0-2 8-13 L
18/08 Radovan Michalik
M15 Mistelbach
2-0 12-2 W
10/08 Carlo Alberto Caniato
Challenger Todi · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
09/08 Federico Arnaboldi
Challenger Todi · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
06/08 Marcello Serafini
M25 Fano
0-2 5-12 L
05/08 Lorenzo Rottoli
M25 Fano
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Enrico Dalla Valle vs Gabriele Crivellaro?

Our model gives 72% to Enrico Dalla Valle, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.