Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 07/09, 05:00
Prediction: Timofei Derepasko vs Taiyo Yamanaka
Team pages: Timofei Derepasko · Taiyo Yamanaka
Prediction summary
Winner
Timofei Derepasko
Taiyo Yamanaka
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Timofei Derepasko
5-5 (W-L)
Taiyo Yamanaka
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Timofei Derepasko 1480 · Taiyo Yamanaka 1511
| Timofei Derepasko | Taiyo Yamanaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Timofei Derepasko | Taiyo Yamanaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-8.8 | 10.1-10.3 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 28.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Timofei Derepasko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Minhthien Nguyen Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/08 | Dimitar Kisimov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Alessandro Bellifemine M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Egor Shcherbakov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/08 | Sean Cuenin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Loan Lestir M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Pierre Delage M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Mattias Pisanu M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Marko Milosavljevic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Dusan Obradovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Taiyo Yamanaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Nikita Ianin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 11/08 | Weiyi Kong M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/08 | Shunsuke Mitsui M15 Astana |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Sergey Petrov M15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Ren Nakamura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Chase Ferguson M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Timofei Derepasko vs Taiyo Yamanaka?
Our model gives 51% to Timofei Derepasko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.