Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee · 07/09, 15:30
Prediction: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Elias Sumann
Team pages: Luis Felipe Miguel · Elias Sumann
Prediction summary
Winner
Luis Felipe Miguel
Elias Sumann
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Luis Felipe Miguel
6-4 (W-L)
Elias Sumann
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luis Felipe Miguel 1534 · Elias Sumann 1485
| Luis Felipe Miguel | Elias Sumann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luis Felipe Miguel (rating 1534 vs 1485).
- Luis Felipe Miguel is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Luis Felipe Miguel | Elias Sumann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-8.7 | 9.9-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 56.2% | 61.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luis Felipe Miguel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Alex Hernandez M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Bautista De La Pena M15 Brasilia |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 10/06 | Mauricio Echazu M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/05 | Mateus Alves M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/05 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/05 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/05 | Pedro Andre De Almeida Santos M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 13/05 | Valentino Conte M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Elias Sumann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Justin Lyons UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Stewart Aronson UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Drew Fishback UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Radek Chodora UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Aleksa Ciric UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Yuichiro Inui M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Lun Obrul M15 Store |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Jure Siftar M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Adrien Burdet M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Preston Brown M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luis Felipe Miguel vs Elias Sumann?
Our model gives 73% to Luis Felipe Miguel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.