Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 08/09, 10:00
Prediction: Stefano Napolitano vs Stefano Travaglia
Team pages: Stefano Napolitano · Stefano Travaglia
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefano Napolitano
Stefano Travaglia
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Stefano Napolitano
4-6 (W-L)
Stefano Travaglia
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Stefano Napolitano
3–1
Stefano Travaglia
(4 last)
- 16 Apr2-1 16-11W
- 22 Sept2-1 17-12W
- 26 Apr0-2 7-12L
- 11 Apr2-1 18-18W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefano Napolitano 1476 · Stefano Travaglia 1453
| Stefano Napolitano | Stefano Travaglia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Stefano Napolitano 3–1 Stefano Travaglia (4).
Statistics
| Stefano Napolitano | Stefano Travaglia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12.8 | 9.9-12 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 35.4% | 28.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Stefano Napolitano 3 – 1 Stefano Travaglia (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefano Napolitano 3–1 Stefano Travaglia
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/23 Challenger Roseto | 2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/09/18 Challenger Biella | 2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 26/04/17 Challenger Francavilla | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/04/17 Challenger Barletta | 2-1 | 18-18 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefano Napolitano
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Mackenzie McDonald US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 27/07 | Alexandre Muller Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 13/07 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Billy Harris Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/05 | Edward Winter Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/05 | Philip Henning Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Stefano Travaglia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Harry Wendelken US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Mariano Navone ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Martin Krumich ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Yi Zhou Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Luka Mikrut Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefano Napolitano vs Stefano Travaglia?
Our model gives 52% to Stefano Travaglia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.