Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 11/09, 03:30
Prediction: Lilian Poling vs Monika Ekstrand
Team pages: Lilian Poling · Monika Ekstrand
Prediction summary
Winner
Lilian Poling
Monika Ekstrand
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lilian Poling
7-3 (W-L)
Monika Ekstrand
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lilian Poling 1561 · Monika Ekstrand 1553
| Lilian Poling | Monika Ekstrand | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lilian Poling makes many double faults (5/match).
- Note: Monika Ekstrand makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Lilian Poling | Monika Ekstrand | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.2 | 10.7-9.5 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 5 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lilian Poling
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Sophie Suh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Sophia Dumitrascu UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Juny Huh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Tereza Polakova UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/08 | Pepper Rickert UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Paula Schaefer UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Bella Pitchford UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Lyric Bonilla UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Allison Isaacs UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 22/08 | Nao Nishino UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Monika Ekstrand
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Juny Huh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Sophia Dumitrascu UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Brooke Black W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Katarina Kuzmova W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Ciara Moore W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/08 | Ellie Blackford W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Hannah Klugman W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Alice Gillan W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Jia-Jing Lu W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Ariana Arseneault W35 Rome |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lilian Poling vs Monika Ekstrand?
Our model gives 66% to Monika Ekstrand, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.