Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 08/09, 19:00
Prediction: Nicole Okhtenberg vs Patrycja Niewiadomska
Team pages: Nicole Okhtenberg · Patrycja Niewiadomska
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicole Okhtenberg
Patrycja Niewiadomska
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Nicole Okhtenberg
7-3 (W-L)
Patrycja Niewiadomska
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicole Okhtenberg 1512 · Patrycja Niewiadomska 1436
| Nicole Okhtenberg | Patrycja Niewiadomska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nicole Okhtenberg (rating 1512 vs 1436).
Statistics
| Nicole Okhtenberg | Patrycja Niewiadomska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.5 | 9.1-11.8 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 57% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 57% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicole Okhtenberg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Avery Olsen UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Jenelle Roberts UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/07 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Kathryn Wilson UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 11/07 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Aubrey Nisbet UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Oziera Ahmad UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Valerie Shue UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Kolie Allen UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Patrycja Niewiadomska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Michaela Laki UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 05/09 | Mayu Crossley UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Jaquelyn Ogunwale UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Katsiaryna Starastsenka UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Jenna Dean UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Alessia Cau UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/08 | Kennedy Gibbs UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 27/08 | Marylove Edwards UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Harper Stone UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Sophia Cisse-Ignatiev UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicole Okhtenberg vs Patrycja Niewiadomska?
Our model gives 55% to Nicole Okhtenberg, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.