Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 08/09, 10:00
Prediction: Mili Poljicak vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
Team pages: Mili Poljicak · Stefanos Sakellaridis
Prediction summary
Winner
Mili Poljicak
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mili Poljicak
5-5 (W-L)
Stefanos Sakellaridis
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mili Poljicak 1522 · Stefanos Sakellaridis 1523
| Mili Poljicak | Stefanos Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Stefanos Sakellaridis dominates on serve: 9.2 aces and 40.1% break avg.
- Note: Stefanos Sakellaridis makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Mili Poljicak | Stefanos Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.5 | 12-12.3 |
| Aces | 7.2 | 9.2 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 24.1% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mili Poljicak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Vaal Urankar M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Alexandre Muller Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 29/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 27/07 | Jozef Kovalik Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Christopher O'Connell US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Taro Daniel Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/08 | Zizou Bergs Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 20/08 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Karl Poling Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mili Poljicak vs Stefanos Sakellaridis?
Our model gives 52% to Stefanos Sakellaridis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.