Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 08/09, 10:00
Prediction: Hugo Dellien vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Team pages: Hugo Dellien · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Dellien
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Dellien
6-4 (W-L)
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hugo Dellien
5–0
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
(5 last)
- 15 Nov2-0 12-2W
- 03 Oct2-0 12-7W
- 20 Oct2-1 17-17W
- 13 Aug2-0 12-5W
- 16 Feb2-0 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Dellien 1534 · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1516
| Hugo Dellien | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Hugo Dellien 5–0 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (5).
Statistics
| Hugo Dellien | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9 | 12.4-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 47.1% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Hugo Dellien 5 – 0 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hugo Dellien 5–0 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/24 Challenger Montevideo | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/10/24 Challenger Buenos Aires | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10/21 Challenger Buenos Aires | 2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 13/08/21 Challenger San Marino | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/02/21 Challenger Concepcion | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Dellien
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Miguel Damas Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Federico Cina US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Moez Echargui US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Pedro Martinez Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Laslo Djere ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Dalibor Svrcina US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Moise Kouame Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Dali Blanch Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Maximo Zeitune M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 06/08 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Dellien vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves?
Our model gives 60% to Hugo Dellien, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.