Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 08/09, 10:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Sonego vs Francesco Passaro
Team pages: Lorenzo Sonego · Francesco Passaro
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Sonego
Francesco Passaro
Estimated games
24.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Sonego
5-5 (W-L)
Francesco Passaro
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lorenzo Sonego
1–1
Francesco Passaro
(2 last)
- 18 May0-2 5-12L
- 30 Jun2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Sonego 1488 · Francesco Passaro 1521
| Lorenzo Sonego | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lorenzo Sonego | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-14.2 | 11.8-12.2 |
| Aces | 9.7 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 73.1% |
| Break % | 33.2% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2
H2H · Lorenzo Sonego 1 – 1 Francesco Passaro (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorenzo Sonego 1–1 Francesco Passaro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/24 Challenger Turin | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06/20 Italian National Tour | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Sonego
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 26-28 | L |
| 27/08 | James Duckworth ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Juncheng Shang ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Joel Schwaerzler ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Taylor Fritz Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
Francesco Passaro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Jesper De Jong US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 19-24 | L |
| 28/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Tom Gentzsch US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Felix Gill US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 27/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Martin Krumich ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Sonego vs Francesco Passaro?
Our model gives 51% to Francesco Passaro, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.