Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 06/09, 11:30
Prediction: Stefan Popovic vs Oleksii Krutykh
Team pages: Stefan Popovic · Oleksii Krutykh
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefan Popovic
Oleksii Krutykh
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Stefan Popovic
5-5 (W-L)
Oleksii Krutykh
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Stefan Popovic
1–0
Oleksii Krutykh
(1 last)
- 21 Jan2-1 15-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefan Popovic 1514 · Oleksii Krutykh 1538
| Stefan Popovic | Oleksii Krutykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Stefan Popovic 1–0 Oleksii Krutykh (1).
Statistics
| Stefan Popovic | Oleksii Krutykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.4 | 11.1-8.8 |
| Aces | 1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.1% | 73.1% |
| Break % | 46% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Stefan Popovic 1 – 0 Oleksii Krutykh (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefan Popovic 1–0 Oleksii Krutykh
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/26 M25 Antalya | 2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Popovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 31/08 | Aleksandar Tolev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Kaloyan Shikov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Piotr Galus M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Luca Castagnola M25 Slovenj Gradec |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Bruno Fernandez M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Bor Artnak M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Oscar Brown M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Max Houkes M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Oleksii Krutykh
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Matias Soto Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Kasra Rahmani Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Nick Hardt Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Popovic vs Oleksii Krutykh?
Our model gives 68% to Oleksii Krutykh, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.