Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 06/09, 10:00
Prediction: Francesco Ferrari vs Gianmarco Ferrari
Team pages: Francesco Ferrari · Gianmarco Ferrari
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesco Ferrari
Gianmarco Ferrari
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Francesco Ferrari
6-4 (W-L)
Gianmarco Ferrari
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesco Ferrari 1497 · Gianmarco Ferrari 1506
| Francesco Ferrari | Gianmarco Ferrari | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Francesco Ferrari | Gianmarco Ferrari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.1 | 10.9-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 55.6% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesco Ferrari
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Vlad Cristian Breazu M15 Arad |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Targu Jiu |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Robert Guna M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M25 Pitesti |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Gabriel Ghetu M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Maximilian Borisov M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Sebastian Gima M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Gianmarco Ferrari
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Andrea Colombo Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 09/08 | Edoardo Betti Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Leonardo Borrelli M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesco Ferrari vs Gianmarco Ferrari?
Our model gives 66% to Gianmarco Ferrari, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.