Tennis · W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 06/09, 10:00
Prediction: Zuzanna Kolonus vs Kateryna Lazarenko
Team pages: Zuzanna Kolonus · Kateryna Lazarenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Zuzanna Kolonus
Kateryna Lazarenko
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Zuzanna Kolonus
5-5 (W-L)
Kateryna Lazarenko
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zuzanna Kolonus 1515 · Kateryna Lazarenko 1580
| Zuzanna Kolonus | Kateryna Lazarenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kateryna Lazarenko (rating 1515 vs 1580).
- Note: Zuzanna Kolonus makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Zuzanna Kolonus | Kateryna Lazarenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.2 | 10.6-8.2 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 53.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zuzanna Kolonus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Emily Appleton W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Mia Wainwright W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Anna Idaszewska W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 26/08 | Irina Fetecau W75 Bytom |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Polina Bakhmutkina W75 Bytom |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Elena Malygina W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Bydgoszcz |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 29/07 | Katerina Mandelikova W15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 1-9 | L |
| 21/07 | Cagla Buyukakcay W100 Amstetten |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/07 | Aneta Laboutkova W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Kateryna Lazarenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Julia Adams W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Mia Chudejova W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Maja Wrobel W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Kate Sharabura W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 15/07 | Anastasiya Kuparev W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Aliesia Reva W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Cayetana Gay W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Leilany Ipunesso W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zuzanna Kolonus vs Kateryna Lazarenko?
Our model gives 52% to Kateryna Lazarenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.