Tennis · W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Margaux Komano vs Ava Hrastar
Team pages: Margaux Komano · Ava Hrastar
Prediction summary
Winner
Margaux Komano
Ava Hrastar
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Margaux Komano
3-7 (W-L)
Ava Hrastar
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Margaux Komano 1476 · Ava Hrastar 1552
| Margaux Komano | Ava Hrastar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ava Hrastar (rating 1476 vs 1552).
- Note: Margaux Komano makes many double faults (5/match).
- Note: Ava Hrastar makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Margaux Komano | Ava Hrastar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-10.9 | 9.8-9 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 5 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 56.1% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 33.9% | 57.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Margaux Komano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Mara Guth W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Coline Briand W35 Verbier Qual |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Sonja Zhenikhova W15 Savitaipale |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Matilde Mariani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Yuliya Perapekhina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Eliz Maloney W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Emily Sartz-Lunde W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Benedetta Ortenzi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Alice Battesti W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
Ava Hrastar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Sadbaroy Kholdarova UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Julie Adele Bedard UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Olesya Stokusova UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Sofia Lauretti UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Amy Zhu W35 Florence |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Hanna Chang W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Amelia Honer W35 Rome |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Sara Shumate W35 Rome |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 05/06 | Dasha Plekhanova W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Kate Fakih W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Margaux Komano vs Ava Hrastar?
Our model gives 76% to Ava Hrastar, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.