Tennis · W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Kate Sharabura vs Kateryna Lazarenko
Team pages: Kate Sharabura · Kateryna Lazarenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Kate Sharabura
Kateryna Lazarenko
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Kate Sharabura
4-6 (W-L)
Kateryna Lazarenko
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kate Sharabura 1470 · Kateryna Lazarenko 1521
| Kate Sharabura | Kateryna Lazarenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kateryna Lazarenko (rating 1470 vs 1521).
- Note: Kateryna Lazarenko makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Kate Sharabura | Kateryna Lazarenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-11.1 | 9.6-8.6 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 58.6% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 50.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kate Sharabura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W15 Torello · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Sofia Montesinos Vilanova W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 08/08 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 07/08 | Esther Lovato UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Gabby Barrera UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Georgia Kulevich UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Germany Davis UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Kateryna Lazarenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 15/07 | Anastasiya Kuparev W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Aliesia Reva W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Cayetana Gay W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Leilany Ipunesso W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Alana Subasic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Doga Turkmen W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Leilany Ipunesso W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Allison Isaacs W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kate Sharabura vs Kateryna Lazarenko?
Our model gives 71% to Kateryna Lazarenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.