Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 08/09, 01:00
Prediction: Zach Stephens vs Pavel Bushuev
Team pages: Zach Stephens · Pavel Bushuev
Prediction summary
Winner
Zach Stephens
Pavel Bushuev
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Zach Stephens
2-8 (W-L)
Pavel Bushuev
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zach Stephens 1419 · Pavel Bushuev 1490
| Zach Stephens | Pavel Bushuev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pavel Bushuev (rating 1419 vs 1490).
- Pavel Bushuev is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Zach Stephens | Pavel Bushuev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 17% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.3-1.8 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.6-12.5 | 9.4-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 57.7% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zach Stephens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Amit Vales M15 Turku |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Oscar Brown M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Max Benaim M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Michael Agwi M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Alexandre Reco M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Dinko Dinev Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 01/07 | Clement Lemire M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Noah Lopez Cherubino M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Pavel Bushuev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Lukas Phimvongsa UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Calvin Wang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Ivan Savkin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Matei Gavrea UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Justin Chung UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Jacob Brumm UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Perry Di Giulio UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Holland Snell UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zach Stephens vs Pavel Bushuev?
Our model gives 55% to Pavel Bushuev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.