Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 17/09, 20:00
Prediction: Zach Stephens vs Matei Gavrea
Team pages: Zach Stephens · Matei Gavrea
Prediction summary
Winner
Zach Stephens
Matei Gavrea
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Zach Stephens
5-5 (W-L)
Matei Gavrea
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zach Stephens 1518 · Matei Gavrea 1562
| Zach Stephens | Matei Gavrea | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matei Gavrea (rating 1518 vs 1562).
Statistics
| Zach Stephens | Matei Gavrea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-9.4 | 10.8-7.6 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 62% |
| Break % | 67.2% | 55.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zach Stephens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Rithvik Katpelly UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Lawee Sherif UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Maximilian Wuelfing UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Andy Nguyen UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Amit Vales M15 Turku |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Oscar Brown M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Max Benaim M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Matei Gavrea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Rithvik Katpelly UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | James Lorenzetti UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Mason Bui UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Siddharth Bharadwaj UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/08 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Andrew Gordon UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Ivan Savkin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 12/07 | Arsene Pougault UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Matic Dimic UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zach Stephens vs Matei Gavrea?
Our model gives 59% to Matei Gavrea, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.