Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 17/09, 20:00
Prediction: Marco Alvarez vs Mihnea Maftei
Team pages: Marco Alvarez · Mihnea Maftei
Prediction summary
Winner
Marco Alvarez
Mihnea Maftei
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Marco Alvarez
7-3 (W-L)
Mihnea Maftei
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marco Alvarez 1562 · Mihnea Maftei 1410
| Marco Alvarez | Mihnea Maftei | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marco Alvarez (rating 1562 vs 1410).
- Marco Alvarez is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Marco Alvarez | Mihnea Maftei | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 11% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.4-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-8.9 | 7.5-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 52.5% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 35% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marco Alvarez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Brayden Tallakson UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Victor Castro UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Ivan Savkin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Sohrob Amiryavari UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Charlie Underwood UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Luca Ostovany UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Cayden Wang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/08 | Miles Clark UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/08 | Blake Anderson UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Mihnea Maftei
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Brayden Tallakson UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Nicholas Godsick UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Kabeer Kapasi M25 Bacau |
1-0 | 9-7 | W |
| 30/11 | Iulius Maximus Stoica UTR Pro Bucharest · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/11 | Calin Apostol UTR Pro Bucharest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/11 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu UTR Pro Bucharest · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/11 | Edison Ambarzumjan UTR Pro Bucharest · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/11 | Valentin Vanta UTR Pro Bucharest · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/11 | Miles Groom UTR Pro Bucharest · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marco Alvarez vs Mihnea Maftei?
Our model gives 79% to Marco Alvarez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.